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So how is the virus deployed? Easily enough. Team Blue has spent the last 3 months buying email lists… the 1,000,000 addresses for $100.00 lists that are readily found on the internet. And after a bit of wardriving, Team Blue has found multiple, non-secured wireless hotspots. Each takes a laptop to one hotspot and plugs in a brand new PCMCIA wi-fi card. They each have a different email list and they send their virus to everyone on the list. They each have the same virus, but they distribute it in different ways, making it harder to track. They spoof the “from:” and “reply-to:” addresses. They use interesting subject lines like “critical vulnerability patch” from the “Administrator”. Or they embed the virus in a table in a Word doc, and email it as “Resume for My Name”. Knowing that extensions such as .exe, pif, .bat, and .scr are commonly blocked by virus scanners, they send the virus with .doc, .xls, or .zip, plus they send it as .exe, .bat, and .pif for the unknowing. Once the emails are sent, the wi-fi card is removed and trashed. The system is wiped by formatting the hard drive from a boot floppy and the members of Team Blue simply drive home. They don’t meet for beer. They don’t brag on IRC. They just go home. In fact, they even “get infected” within a few days and complain to their wives and co-workers that they too got that damned virus spreading around. And what’s the name of the virus? Why, cowboy_neal, of course. And just to keep everyone guessing, they called it “cowboy_neal.c” to make everyone think there were earlier .a and .b strains.

The result? If done correctly, worldwide infection can occur within 1 to 12 hours. If done fast enough, there will be no vulnerability patches to get, even if the sites responsible for distributing them had something to distribute. With the anti-virus sites crippled, and their ISPs being DDoS’d, no new anti-virus definition files can be obtained. So the virus simply continues to spread. After 48 hours, the imbedded time-bomb goes off and the worst is yet to come… maybe systems are put in a reboot loop, maybe some ActiveX exploit is performed to make the system unusable. The choices are virtually endless since the main part of the virus will have already done its job, now the real payload can be released. The end target are Microsoft Windows systems since, after all, Microsoft OS's account for more than 90% of the desktop market and Microsoft Server OS installations are on the rise.

The next issue that Team Blue must address is when to release the virus. One would think that Friday afternoon would be a good time. After all, people just want to go home and home users statistically spend more time online on evenings and weekends. However, our world as a whole is too connected. Most semi-competent sysadmins have pagers, cell phones, and access to email, news, TV, and radio. They will undoubtedly hear about a weekend outbreak and could choose to just turn off the company mail server Saturday and deal with the issue Monday morning. However Team Blue decided to release it at 6am Monday morning, East Coast Time. Why? Because Monday’s are always bad days for IT people. Systems go down on weekends. Scheduled power outages for business-zoned areas occur on weekends. Monday mornings are typically fairly busy for IT people. And 6am EST allows for 3 hours of infection before the west coast is online. By the end of the day, the virus will spread worldwide and all the sysadmins who stayed up late the previous Sunday night will be tired Monday evening and not giving their full potential and thought to the problem. By Wednesday, when updates aren’t possible due to the DDoS attacks, and the sysadmins are frazzled from lack of sleep and too much coffee, the time-bomb built into the virus goes off and things only get worse…

The next few pages deal with how sysadmin types should prepare for this type of an issue. For the conclusion of the "what if" scenario, please click <here>.

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